For those who have been refused entry clearance or leave to enter the UK, you very likely have come across the term, balance of the probabilities in the refusal.
A legal standard, applied in many jurisdictions for deciding the outcome of civil disputes, which requires that a dispute be decided in favor of the party whose claims are more likely to be true.
Basically greater than 50% likelihood.
Having an quantitative background, I tend to like clean/well defined and to some degree calculable/quantifiable outcomes. My question is, does there exist a list of criteria which are weighted when determining the balance of probabilities in UK immigration entry clearance/leave to enter situations? Is this purely qualitative?
I ask because there are several cases here and elsewhere of applicants who appear overwhelmingly qualified to be approved on all other criteria but one, but ultimately end up being refused based on that one criteria.
Evaluation criteria taken into account can be found in the guidance.
Finally and most importantly, is it a case where any one negative criteria (e.g not having a job, funds parking) is automatically given a much heavier weighting than favorable criteria and by itself alone tilts the balance of probabilities to the negative?