Checking "Frommer's Alaska 2004 by Charles Wohlforth", Wiley Publishing Inc, ISBN 0-7645-3891-8, we find the following paragraph...
The Geophysical Institute at the University of Alaska Fairbanks
maintains a fascinating and cool site filled with real-time earth
science information about Alaska, such as aurora predictions, volcano
watches, earthquake and tsunami updates, rocketry, and space science.
Going to the site, at Aurora Forecast, you can find the answers to almost everything related to seeing the aurora, including a graphic showing the forecast for today...
Auroral activity will be moderate. Weather permitting, moderate
displays will be visible overhead from Barrow to as far south as
Talkeetna and visible low on the horizon as far south as Bethel,
Soldotna and southeast Alaska.
Source: Aurora Forecast, University of Alaska Fairbanks, fair use
Looking further into Frommer's, there's a first person narrative entitled "Seeing the Aurora Borealis" which gives an informative account of the author's experience.
My copy of Frommer's is the 2004 version, you can locate the 2015 version here. Checking Amazon, I see used paperback copies starting at GBP 1.
Summary: The site uses a computer model that appears to take all of your parameters into consideration. And so it seems that the book coupled with the university site will have all of the information you need to successfully view the aurora in Alaska (or any place else where it's visible).