I'm planning to fly from Australia to Japan for a conference that straddles May and June, but unfortunately they haven't released tickets for the conference yet. I'm 95% sure I'd be able to buy a conference ticket when it gets released, but not totally sure. Thankfully, I have three weeks of annual leave, which gives me a bit of flexibility for when I fly.
I'm currently planning on waiting until conference tickets get released before booking any flights, but I'm getting twitchy.
What approaches can I use to see if prices are likely to increase soon?
Approaches I can envisage are
- Check what's happening with flights a week or three ahead of when I want to fly. (This was mentioned in Flight tickets: buy two weeks before even during holiday seasons?)
- Check whether some flights on more popular days around my flight time are starting to go up in price, and if that's happening, choose other days that haven't gone up in price yet.
- Sign up for some travel website "last seats selling" alert? (Are these things trustworthy?)
Additionally, is there any way of telling if a date I want is likely to be peak season for travel and therefore sell out faster than approach #1 would indicate?